时间：2018年3月28日（周四）上午10:00-11:30

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题目： The One-Child Policy and Intergenerational Mobility

摘要：

    This paper theoretically and empirically examines how fertility decline induced by the one-child policy has affected intergenerational mobility in China. I present a human capital investment model incorporating fertility and credit constraints, and show that fertility decline narrows the educational attainment gap between children from credit-constrained families and non-credit-constrained families, thus increasing intergenerational mobility. I then empirically test the model’s prediction using variation in the implementation intensity of the one-child policy across regions and cohorts addressing the endogeneity of the fertility decision. I confirm that lower fertility increases intergenerational mobility, and that the one-child policy played an under-appreciated role in changing intergenerational mobility in China.

主讲人介绍：

     邹先强，香港科技大学商学院经济系博士，研究方向：劳动经济学，发展经济学，中国经济。具体研究兴趣包括：中国的代际流动，儿童成长和发展以及rent sharing。